Rejection of Minimum Wage Increase Sets Stage for Next Steps
Primary Election Day has come and gone for Oklahoma. Tuesday’s primary results led to many interesting developments.
Of 25 legislative primary races with at least three candidates, 15 are headed for the Aug. 25 runoff. Only one incumbent, Sen. Dusty Deevers of Senate District 32, lost, while three other incumbent lawmakers moved to a runoff.
There also will be a runoff for the Democratic nomination for United States Senate, which will be the only statewide Runoff Election. Congratulations to those candidates who won their respective races or advanced to a Runoff Election. The General Election will be November 3.
There are nearly 2,420,000 registered voters in Oklahoma, but 26% voted on June 16. Our state is not alone in voter apathy or disillusionment from negative campaigns as Texas, which saw a record turnout in their own primaries in March, still only had 24% of registered voters go to the polls.
In Texas’ recent Runoff Election, just 10% of their 18.7 million voters showed up. Oklahoma will likely see a similar drop in our own runoffs due to fewer races.
The total turnout for the vote on raising the minimum wage, State Question 832, was 630,085 votes, with 281,171 voting for the proposition, and 348,914 voting against it. The turnout numbers are even worse when you look at the gubernatorial votes cast. Among registered Democrats, only 172,366 votes were cast, while only 402,917 Republicans voted in their primary; just 575,283 primary votes cast for a voter’s pick for governor.
Comparing the state question and the governor races, 54,802 more people voted on State Question 832 than voted for a candidate for governor. Most of that number likely were independent voters and registered Libertarians who had no Primary Elections this year.
Independent turnout was expected to be less than normal because independent voters could only vote on the state question and were not allowed to vote in either of the party primaries this year.
Crunching the numbers and presuming loosely that Democratic and independent voters generally supported raising the minimum wage, while Republicans and Libertarians largely opposed it, we can deduce that at least 54,000 Republicans voted in favor of raising the minimum wage. Chances are many independent voters opposed the state question, which would indicate even more Republicans voted for the wage increase.
This suggests there is a bipartisan desire among Oklahomans to raise the minimum wage – but not the way this state question would have done it.
The trigger to automatically raise the wage beyond $15 by tying it to the consumer price index was just too much for many Oklahomans per reports. Opponents also were concerned that high school students and adult workers would have received the same minimum wage, agricultural workers would see a similar pay bump, and the jump from $7.25 per hour to $15 was over three years.
Now, the question is, “What’s next?” Many Republican lawmakers expressed concern over these opposition points, but would a different proposal fare better in a GOP-controlled Legislature with such across-party-lines support?
If a plan came forward with a different process, such as no automatic trigger, a smaller ceiling than $15, a clause that would allow employers to pay minors at a lower pay scale, a clause for an agricultural exemption, or a slower schedule for raising the minimum wage – such as two years between pay jumps – would that generate greater support? Would these provisions give lawmakers leeway to adopt a different minimum wage increase?
Regardless, 55.38% of the one-fourth of eligible voters who showed up to the polls last Tuesday made the decision for four million Oklahomans that this proposal was unacceptable. It remains to be seen what the next step will be, but this conversation is likely not over as the proponents proclaimed they will go back to the drawing board with a different plan. Time will tell what happens next with a minimum wage adjustment.










